• ▼ Our line of business only 14% like anything in our 58 bids — most likely not something we sell.
• ▲ Expected competition this category averages 2.6 bidders, 26% go single-bid. In 1–3 bidders we have won 10 of 17.
• ▲ Deal size ₾10k–50k: we have won 8 of 15 bids in this range.
• — Procedure NAT: 18 wins from 48 bids.
• — Category fit 45100000: we have never bid in this category.
• — Buyer relationship we have never bid with this buyer.

Derived from our own 52 decided bids (18 won, 35% base rate) against market data for the category. Thin evidence is shrunk toward the base rate, so this is a prior, not a prediction — it says nothing about whether we can meet the specification.